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Theory
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Introduction

  • A hat (^ or - ) above a greek letter refers to the fact that we are working with a sample rather than a population.

Definitions

  • Population

    • A population refers to a group of animals that are part of the overall breeding structure
      • e.g. All dairy cows in New Zealand
  • Sample

    • A subset of animals from a population
      • e.g. 30 dairy cows from New Zealand
  • Sample Mean

    Sample Mean

    Where $y_i$ is an observed trait value on an animal in the sample

    • An average of all observed traits
  • Standard Deviation

    • A measure of how spread out the data is
      • Note - To give an idea of its measure, In a normal distribution 99.7% of the data will be within 3 standard deviations

        Standard Deviation

  • Variance

    • An indication of the range of possible values that $y_i$ could be. For example a min of 1 and a max of 3 will have a smaller variance than a min of 0 and a max of 4.

    • $StandardDeviation^2$

      Variance

  • Coefficient of Variation

    • Represents the degree of variation relative to the size of the mean

      Coefficient of Variation

  • Covariance

    • Measure how two traits vary together. A trait such as milk solids against a trait such as avg days on penicillin:

      Covariance

    • Can be positive or negative

      • Positive means when one grows so does the other
      • Negative means when one grows the other shrinks
  • Correlation Coefficient

    • Describes the same thing as Covariance, but is a bit easier to calculate and interpret

      Correlation Coefficient

    • Ranges between -1 and +1

Normal Distribution

  • Described using the mean and variance - N(mean, variance)
  • A standard normal distribution (SND) = N(0,1)

Commonly used values for an SND

z-value chart

  • z-value
    • Used to express standard deviations from the mean
      • 2.5 is 2.5 standard deviation from the mean (positively)
    • $z_i = y_i-μ/σ$
  • Percentage point (p)
    • The portion of population above the z-value
  • Confidence Interval
    • Gives the portion of the population within a z-value and it’s inverse

Bell Curve

  • Selection Intensity
    • $i$
    • the average value of the portion $p$ of the population that is above the z-value

The Empirical Rule

For any bell-shaped curve - normal distribution

  • What % of values for within 1 standard deviation of the mean in either direction
    • 68%
  • What % of values fall within 2 standard deviations of the mean in either direction
    • 95%
  • What % of values fall with 3 standard deviations of the mean in either direction
    • 99.7%